Monday, July 23, 2012
Technology Giving Classrooms a New Look
Sunday, February 5, 2012
10 Higher Ed Metatrends
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Digital Books Reached $3.2 Billion in 2011
Wednesday, October 5, 2011
E-Books Not So Popular at CSUF
Of course, as we have reported on this blog in the past and in presentations elsewhere, there are a variety of other factors also influencing the adoption of digital texts by students. Many of the larger adoptions are now available through sources like CourseSmart, which has partnered with many campus bookstores. However, the majority of titles are still not available, or easily available, though a consolidated source. Digital sales require more consumer and faculty education, due to differences in DRM and licensing terms. Type of institution also matters, with sales higher among for-profit schools and adult commuting populations. Student expectations of digital are also not "pdf-equivalents" of the text and in response we increasingly we see more emphasis by publishers being placed on "born digital" versions of course material resources. In short, there are many reasons why adoption has been slow, but many of those factors are showing signs of shift.
There is also a question around the true size of the digital course materials market. Take MyMathLab by Pearson as an example. It probably outsells the leading print textbook product by 3-to-1 (that is in dollars if not units). It is a top selling product for many stores, but few stores (or publishers) would count that as a "digital textbook sale." As more products are available in digital format, and as more of those products provide richer learning contexts, digital sales will increase. There are also a percentage of sales that happen directly through other sources, which college stores cannot track. A case of "we may not know what we do not know" -- and that relates to market share. We do not know what percentage of digital sales we are losing to other sources. Recall that record stores were not seeing big sales of digital music back in 2003. What a difference less than a decade makes. What is the true size of the digital course materials market across all digital products (not just .pdf substitutes for print)?
So my question regarding the original article cited in this story -- were students surveyed to find out if they are using digital course materials, and if so where they were being acquired? How many students at CSUF are using digital course materials accessed through the library or purchased someplace else? The number may still be small, but if we are trying to track trends, the data might provide for a more accurate picture. The move to digital is certainly more a question now of "when" rather than "if." Despite currently low in-store sales it is important for stores to continue to monitor digital sales and experiment to learn how to transition to new forms of content delivery. Failure to do so will likely mean increased channel obsolescence with time.
BTW -- I tend to consider CSUF a well-managed college store. My comments are not intended to be a critique of the store's performance around digital, but to provide a different perspective on the low digital sales many stores report. I know a number of stores take the low sales numbers and use that to justify not doing anything with digital. Such decisions weaken both the store and the channel in terms of future positioning. Even well-managed stores like CSUF's find that digital course material sales are not yet comparable to digital trade book sales in other channels, but they are experimenting and tracking so that when the shift does come they will be better prepared with viable solutions.
Friday, June 17, 2011
When technology trends (and textbooks) collide...
A few weeks ago we wrote about the study by the Pearson Foundation. Among some of the interesting quotes:
[W]hile 55 percent of students still prefer print over digital textbooks, among the 7 percent of students who own tablets devices like iPads, 73 percent prefer digital textbooks. With 70 percent of college students interested in owning a tablet, and 15 percent saying they plan to buy one in the next six months, the survey suggests that there may be a coming rise in the e-textbook market.
These findings are interesting on several points. First is the declining preference among students for print over digital -- dropping from 75% (widely found in a number of studies) down to 55% in the past 6 months. However, the preference of print over digital more than flips when you look at students with a tablet device -- with 73% of those students prefering digital to print.
Unless one wants to believe that this is just an abberation among early adopters, this week, a new study conducted at Abilene Christian University appeared in Campus Technology. Independent from the prior study, this study found similar preference for digital over print even among individuals exposed to a tablet for as little as three weeks. An interesting quote from this piece:
“After trying an iPad for a short period—about three weeks—three out of four college freshmen said they’d be willing to purchase an Apple iPad personally if at least half of the textbooks they used during their college career were available digitally.”
The article goes on to discuss the barriers to digital textbook adoption. Among top reasons they note lack of inventory, the cost of digital, and the need for truly media rich content. The first and last are on our list of factors. The second surprised me, as the physical print and distribution costs are not a substantive portion of current textbook cost -- so why should people expect the cost to be lower. Plus, the current cost of generating truly media rich content and integrating it in pedagogically proven ways can be quite high. Digital textbooks should probably cost more not less right now if we are just talking about costs and truly media rich versions. The costs for consumers are marginally lower currently as we look at "PDF equivalents" and publishers attempt to build market share for digital.
As we look at the inventory challenge, most textbooks currently available in digital are the large adoptions -- so mostly content oriented toward first- and second-year courses. If students start coming to campus with tablets in growing numbers, over a four-year period you could have more than half of all textbook content available digitally.
So what would that mean for the printed textbook in four years time -- i.e., 2015? What happens if tablet adoption follows patterns similar to iPod or smartphone adoption in recent years? (A reasonable projection, since most technologies are on accelerating adoption curves, and early projections say this technology is on a similar or faster trajectory than the identified counterparts). What if just half of students have a tablet device by 2015, and they acquire just half of all of their textbooks in digital format? That is 25% of course materials being sold digital right there.
Is there anyone credible out there who STILL does not think trends in digital content or mobile devices or technology in general does not matter in the textbook world?